Black Rock lies in a seismically active area, on top of a fault zone, and beneath landslide-prone slopes.
Black Rock reservoir is proposed to be built in the Yakima Fold Belt, a geologic region that is prone to large (magnitude 6 to 7-plus) earthquakes. A thrust fault underlies the proposed dam site (see diagram). Core samples of the geologic strata beneath the proposed dam site have been described as looking like “kibble” (dog food), much of which would have to be excavated to seat the dam.
Despite these problems, Bureau of Reclamation engineers conclude that the dam can be built to safety standards. Nonetheless, Black Rock does not appear to be a wise location to invest $4 billion in dam construction funds.
“Initial geologic mapping indicates that a significant thrust fault is present in the right abutment of the proposed dam site. . . . This fault is considered a potential earthquake source. If large earthquakes occur on this fault, they could potentially be accompanied by up to several meters of surface faulting. The age and characteristics of this fault need further studies for issues related to seismic source characterization at the site.”
Reservoir Landslides.
The Black Rock Reservoir could be subject to landslides on the steep slopes of Rattlesnake Ridge that would serve as the south bank of the proposed reservoir. Landslides can displace reservoir water, causing it to overtop and otherwise de-stabilize dams. The Bureau of Reclamation’s report on Black Rock geology identifies two large landslide areas adjacent to and upstream of the proposed dam site. Annual fluctuations in water levels could cause landslides into the Black Rock reservoir.
This is not a theoretical problem. Lake Roosevelt was subject to a series of large landslides between 1943 and 1954, as the reservoir was annually filled and emptied. These landslides caused large, fast-moving waves to travel several miles across the reservoir, wiping out structures in their path. Grand Coulee dam was not threatened, presumably because Lake Roosevelt is more than 100 miles long and the landslides occurred well upstream of the dam. In contrast, Black Rock reservoir would only be a few miles long.